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Red102
561229.6
755329.1
364132.1
Blue94
590741.3
1028515.7
883216.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9555020408012014016010294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
53Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#21
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
102Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#17
32.10.5
35.936.4
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
blue by 9.2
41.32.3
29.932.1
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
Second
5612
#10
29.60.5
25.526.1
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 13.6
8832
#27
16.02.3
13.315.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
29.10.5
20.420.9
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
red by 13.4
15.72.3
11.814.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed