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Red70
30824.6
653224.7
28014.3
Blue50
717815.5
473722.6
619011.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7254204060801001207050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
52Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
70Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
23.023.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
red by 2.1
4737
#26
22.60.1
22.422.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
Second
308
#23
24.60.4
18.719.1
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
red by 9.2
7178
#18
15.50.1
10.110.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
280
#35
14.30.4
16.717.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1
red by 2.5
6190
#28
11.90.1
13.513.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed