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Red78
914811.3
755329.1
1028515.7
Blue73
842436.4
561229.6
1059013.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487701001507873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
60Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
78Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.12.0
20.922.9
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
blue by 7.3
8424
#11
36.40.3
29.529.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Second
15.72.0
14.016.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
blue by 13.9
5612
#10
29.60.3
26.126.3
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Third
9148
#38
11.32.0
13.215.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 1.7
13.00.3
13.513.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed