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Red105
920412.0
506729.7
922625.1
Blue177
233769.4
1067222.7
842724.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113750100150200105177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+70
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
12Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +53
15Coral scored#24
55Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
79Total teleop132
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#11
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
105Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#14
29.71.0
33.334.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
blue by 39.6
69.42.7
60.463.1
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Second
9226
#19
25.11.0
16.617.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 0.4
8427
#12
24.62.7
24.226.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Third
9204
#36
12.01.0
12.513.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 10.7
22.72.7
20.923.6
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned