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Red34
883216.0
973518.4
838510.4
Blue36
842620.0
961823.7
152813.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417102060801001203436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
3Coral scored#3
10Coral points10
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
14Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points4
34Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9735
#34
18.40.8
14.213.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
blue by 5.4
9618
#21
23.71.9
20.218.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Second
8832
#27
16.00.8
15.514.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 3.9
8426
#24
20.01.9
22.120.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Third
8385
#37
10.40.8
7.06.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 2.8
1528
#31
13.21.9
16.014.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed