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Red97
615232.6
957229.1
1065918.9
Blue118
520520.5
590741.3
686138.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9192708010011012097118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points10
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points69
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
0Processor points12
12Net points4
12Algae points16
72Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
97Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#20
32.60.7
32.633.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
blue by 8.7
41.32.5
32.134.7
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
Second
29.10.7
27.328.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
blue by 9.1
38.22.5
32.635.2
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Third
18.90.7
20.321.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 1.6
5205
#16
20.52.5
15.317.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned