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Red87
717440.5
610122.8
714713.9
Blue21
759810.6
914811.3
717815.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934501508721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+62Teleop
+76Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
9Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
41Total teleop3
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points10
87Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.9
35.136.0
Auto15.0
Teleop22.9
End2.7
red by 25.1
7178
#18
15.51.8
10.08.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
6101
#13
22.80.9
19.120.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
red by 11.5
9148
#38
11.31.8
15.213.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Third
7147
#32
13.90.9
19.320.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 3.3
7598
#39
10.61.8
13.111.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed