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Red66
973518.4
922625.1
842620.0
Blue59
364132.1
1059013.0
619011.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5776020401001206659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
37Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
14Foul points6
66Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9226
#19
25.10.1
17.717.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
blue by 7.0
3641
#17
32.10.7
37.036.2
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
8426
#24
20.00.1
20.220.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 6.9
13.00.7
13.813.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
9735
#34
18.40.1
13.413.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 6.5
6190
#28
11.90.7
13.512.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned