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Red95
686138.2
961823.7
957229.1
Blue135
233769.4
1028515.7
152813.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810940608010012014016018095135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave6
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
82Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points2
95Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.0
35.235.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
blue by 31.2
69.41.7
63.164.8
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Second
29.10.0
28.128.0
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 13.4
15.71.7
16.017.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Third
9618
#21
23.70.0
18.218.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
red by 10.5
1528
#31
13.21.7
14.015.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned