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Red56
1070521.4
883216.0
1059013.0
Blue77
1065918.9
619011.9
842724.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51710204060801001205677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
40Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
4Foul points12
56Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.6
22.021.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End3.4
blue by 3.2
8427
#12
24.60.6
27.526.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Second
8832
#27
16.00.6
13.012.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 2.9
18.90.6
19.518.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Third
13.00.6
13.012.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.5
red by 1.2
6190
#28
11.90.6
12.712.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed