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Red59
152813.2
615232.6
364132.1
Blue92
722040.9
842620.0
842436.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9796607080901001105992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
30Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
2Foul points0
59Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#20
32.61.9
34.032.0
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
blue by 8.3
7220
#15
40.90.6
32.933.5
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
3641
#17
32.11.9
36.234.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
blue by 4.3
8424
#11
36.40.6
30.431.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Third
1528
#31
13.21.9
15.813.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 6.8
8426
#24
20.00.6
20.220.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned