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Red66
653224.7
973518.4
961823.7
Blue99
714713.9
686138.2
50348.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911701001502006699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+19
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
42Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
66Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.3
23.924.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
blue by 23.4
503
#3
48.10.2
41.341.4
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
9618
#21
23.70.3
18.218.5
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
blue by 14.5
38.20.2
35.135.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Third
9735
#34
18.40.3
13.413.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 4.5
7147
#32
13.90.2
20.220.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned