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Red91
610122.8
283258.7
520520.5
Blue53
920412.0
590741.3
30824.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107852040601201401601809153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+24Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
7Coral scored#9
26Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
46Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
91Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.5
46.346.7
Auto20.5
Teleop32.2
End6.0
red by 17.4
41.31.0
34.733.7
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
Second
6101
#13
22.80.5
20.020.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
blue by 1.8
308
#23
24.61.0
19.118.1
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Third
5205
#16
20.50.5
17.818.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 8.4
9204
#36
12.01.0
13.612.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed