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Red85
838510.4
914811.3
1065918.9
Blue86
50348.1
520520.5
717815.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4484020601001201408586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
54Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
18Foul points0
85Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.6
18.919.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 29.2
503
#3
48.10.7
41.442.1
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
9148
#38
11.30.6
12.913.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 9.2
5205
#16
20.50.7
17.818.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Third
8385
#37
10.40.6
9.19.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 5.1
7178
#18
15.50.7
9.910.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed