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Red100
957229.1
920412.0
610122.8
Blue95
755329.1
973518.4
1067222.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717102040608010012014010095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
72Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
100Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.6
24.826.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 0.1
29.11.5
22.624.1
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
Second
6101
#13
22.81.6
19.320.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
red by 0.1
22.71.5
21.422.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Third
9204
#36
12.01.6
11.613.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 6.3
9735
#34
18.41.5
13.715.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed