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Red75
717815.5
842724.6
364132.1
Blue113
961823.7
30824.6
615232.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions938905015020025075113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+38
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +42
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
58Total teleop100
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points0
75Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#17
32.10.6
34.233.6
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
blue by 0.5
6152
#20
32.62.1
30.933.0
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
Second
8427
#12
24.60.6
26.626.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Level
308
#23
24.62.1
20.422.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Third
7178
#18
15.50.6
10.610.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 8.3
9618
#21
23.72.1
19.421.5
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed