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Red132
883216.0
717440.5
506729.7
Blue83
1028515.7
838510.4
686138.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94712040608012014016013283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+51Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points3
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points46
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
85Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#5
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
132Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.2
35.938.1
Auto15.0
Teleop22.9
End2.7
red by 2.3
38.20.1
35.235.1
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
Second
5067
#14
29.72.2
29.431.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
red by 14.1
15.70.1
16.015.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Third
8832
#27
16.02.2
12.414.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 5.6
8385
#37
10.40.1
9.79.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned