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Red80
590741.3
1065918.9
842620.0
Blue75
28014.3
914811.3
233769.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111440601001201401601808075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points4
80Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.0
34.334.3
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
blue by 28.0
69.41.6
67.966.3
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
Second
8426
#24
20.00.0
20.820.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 5.7
280
#35
14.31.6
12.911.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Third
18.90.0
19.519.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.2
End1.1
red by 7.6
9148
#38
11.31.6
13.511.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed