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Red96
473722.6
653224.7
755329.1
Blue127
283258.7
717815.5
961823.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7789406010012014096127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#17
41Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
61Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
96Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.3
24.125.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
blue by 29.7
58.72.7
49.752.4
Auto20.5
Teleop32.2
End6.0
Second
24.71.3
24.325.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
red by 0.9
9618
#21
23.72.7
21.524.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Third
4737
#26
22.61.3
22.423.7
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
red by 7.1
7178
#18
15.52.7
10.012.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned