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Red93
561229.6
520520.5
615232.6
Blue81
922625.1
619011.9
957229.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976602040801201409381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
77Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
93Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#20
32.60.5
33.033.4
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
red by 3.5
29.11.1
26.627.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
Second
5612
#10
29.60.5
29.029.4
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 4.5
9226
#19
25.11.1
21.722.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
Third
5205
#16
20.50.5
18.819.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 8.6
6190
#28
11.91.1
10.011.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned