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Red23
920412.0
714713.9
1059013.0
Blue94
717440.5
722040.9
1028515.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401080501502394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#13
11Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
15Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points6
23Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7147
#32
13.91.4
17.816.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 27.1
7220
#15
40.90.0
34.234.2
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
13.01.4
11.310.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 27.5
40.50.0
38.138.1
Auto15.0
Teleop22.9
End2.7
Third
9204
#36
12.01.4
14.312.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 3.6
15.70.0
15.915.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed