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Red71
914811.3
842436.4
506729.7
Blue75
30824.6
883216.0
1065918.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99662040801201401607175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
43Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
71Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8424
#11
36.40.5
34.534.1
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
red by 11.8
308
#23
24.60.4
22.522.9
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Second
5067
#14
29.70.5
31.531.1
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
red by 10.8
18.90.4
19.419.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Third
9148
#38
11.30.5
11.911.5
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
blue by 4.7
8832
#27
16.00.4
14.615.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed