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Red77
842724.6
152813.2
759810.6
Blue103
838510.4
50348.1
755329.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57100020408012014077103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+28
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +24
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
50Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#7
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points0
77Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8427
#12
24.60.1
26.025.9
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
blue by 23.5
503
#3
48.10.4
43.343.7
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
1528
#31
13.20.1
13.013.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
blue by 15.9
29.10.4
25.425.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
Third
7598
#39
10.60.1
10.610.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 0.2
8385
#37
10.40.4
9.610.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed