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Red71
1028515.7
30824.6
1067222.7
Blue65
759810.6
561229.6
973518.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72644060801007165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
71Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#23
24.60.7
22.923.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
blue by 5.0
5612
#10
29.60.5
29.429.9
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Second
22.70.7
21.622.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 4.4
9735
#34
18.40.5
18.218.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Third
15.70.7
15.916.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
red by 5.1
7598
#39
10.60.5
10.611.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed