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Red102
590741.3
364132.1
473722.6
Blue100
50348.1
717440.5
914811.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011068090110120130102100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
75Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
102Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.7
37.538.2
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
blue by 6.8
503
#3
48.10.4
43.744.2
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
Second
3641
#17
32.10.7
31.732.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
blue by 8.4
40.50.4
38.739.1
Auto15.0
Teleop22.9
End2.7
Third
4737
#26
22.60.7
22.623.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
red by 11.3
9148
#38
11.30.4
10.811.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed