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Red96
842724.6
686138.2
920412.0
Blue62
615232.6
842620.0
714713.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958240601201409662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
68Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
8Foul points2
96Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.3
37.136.8
Auto5.0
Teleop25.5
End7.7
red by 5.6
6152
#20
32.61.5
34.132.6
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
Second
8427
#12
24.60.3
24.824.5
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
red by 4.7
8426
#24
20.01.5
18.216.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Third
9204
#36
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 1.8
7147
#32
13.91.5
15.413.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed