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Red89
1065918.9
922625.1
653224.7
Blue139
610122.8
722040.9
755329.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78105406012014016089139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +35
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
6Processor points6
12Net points28
18Algae points34
63Total teleop98
Reef
6L4#12
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
89Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9226
#19
25.10.3
23.423.7
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End3.5
blue by 15.9
7220
#15
40.91.7
35.637.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
24.70.3
25.125.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
blue by 4.4
29.11.7
26.127.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
Third
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.2
End1.1
blue by 3.9
6101
#13
22.81.7
21.523.3
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned