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Red71
30824.6
717815.5
152813.2
Blue38
1028515.7
1070521.4
619011.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58632040801001207138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+37Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
53Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
71Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#23
24.61.4
23.625.1
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
red by 3.2
21.40.9
22.421.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Second
7178
#18
15.51.4
14.015.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 0.2
15.70.9
16.615.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.3
End1.5
Third
1528
#31
13.21.4
11.713.2
Auto6.3
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 1.3
6190
#28
11.90.9
12.811.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed