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Red93
590741.3
842436.4
961823.7
Blue64
973518.4
506729.7
520520.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11179501001502009364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
61Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
93Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.1
38.238.1
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
red by 11.6
5067
#14
29.70.3
29.929.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
Second
8424
#11
36.40.1
32.932.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
red by 15.9
5205
#16
20.50.3
19.519.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Third
9618
#21
23.70.1
23.023.0
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
red by 5.4
9735
#34
18.40.3
18.618.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed