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Red139
957229.1
364132.1
233769.4
Blue41
883216.0
28014.3
759810.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1593205010020025013941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+98Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
73Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
8L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
0Foul points0
139Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.2
68.468.6
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 53.3
8832
#27
16.00.4
16.516.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Second
3641
#17
32.10.2
32.332.5
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
red by 17.8
280
#35
14.30.4
11.110.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Third
29.10.2
27.727.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
red by 18.6
7598
#39
10.60.4
11.010.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed