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Red160
283258.7
233769.4
961823.7
Blue74
30824.6
364132.1
610122.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186915015020025016074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+76Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points32
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
94Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +86
2Foul points2
160Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.1
68.668.7
Auto17.0
Teleop44.5
End7.9
red by 37.3
3641
#17
32.10.3
32.532.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
58.70.1
58.058.1
Auto20.5
Teleop32.2
End6.0
red by 34.1
308
#23
24.60.3
25.124.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Third
9618
#21
23.70.1
23.023.1
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End2.4
red by 0.9
6101
#13
22.80.3
23.323.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6