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Red94
561229.6
653224.7
473722.6
Blue105
957229.1
520520.5
755329.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908205010015094105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+27
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#13
29Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
55Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +11
18Foul points2
94Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#10
29.60.1
30.330.3
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
red by 0.5
29.10.6
27.928.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.9
End5.3
Second
24.70.1
25.425.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
blue by 4.4
29.10.6
27.828.4
Auto6.2
Teleop18.9
End4.0
Third
4737
#26
22.60.1
23.323.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
red by 2.1
5205
#16
20.50.6
19.219.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.2