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Red129
50348.1
590741.3
842620.0
Blue123
506729.7
842724.6
615232.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123112050100150200129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#24
44Coral points86
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
80Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
129Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#3
48.10.3
44.945.1
Auto15.2
Teleop26.8
End6.1
red by 15.5
6152
#20
32.60.2
32.632.8
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
Second
41.30.3
38.138.3
Auto8.8
Teleop30.5
End2.0
red by 11.6
5067
#14
29.70.2
29.729.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
Third
8426
#24
20.00.3
16.717.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.4
End3.3
blue by 4.7
8427
#12
24.60.2
24.524.8
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5