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Red94
506729.7
842724.6
615232.6
Blue125
722040.9
28014.3
842436.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118108608010014016018094125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
61Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points6
94Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#20
32.60.1
32.832.6
Auto6.0
Teleop24.8
End1.9
blue by 8.3
7220
#15
40.90.5
38.438.9
Auto5.1
Teleop31.6
End4.3
Second
5067
#14
29.70.1
29.929.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End6.1
blue by 6.7
8424
#11
36.40.5
33.834.4
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End4.9
Third
8427
#12
24.60.1
24.824.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.8
End2.5
red by 10.3
280
#35
14.30.5
11.712.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.1