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Red93
30824.6
364132.1
610122.8
Blue49
561229.6
653224.7
473722.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959460801201409349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
51Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +44
12Foul points0
93Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#17
32.10.0
32.332.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End7.3
red by 2.5
5612
#10
29.60.7
30.329.6
Auto6.7
Teleop21.9
End1.0
Second
308
#23
24.60.0
24.824.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Level
24.70.7
25.324.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End6.3
Third
6101
#13
22.80.0
23.023.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End3.6
red by 0.3
4737
#26
22.60.7
23.222.6
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9