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Red155
439848.7
437723.7
439177.8
Blue89
776843.0
1050536.1
437534.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16611810015020015589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +58
21Coral scored#11
76Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
116Total teleop58
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#3
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
155Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.80.1
77.777.8
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
red by 34.8
43.00.6
43.643.0
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Second
48.70.1
48.648.7
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 12.6
36.10.6
36.736.1
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
Third
4377
#36
23.70.1
23.523.7
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 10.5
4375
#35
34.10.6
34.734.1
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3