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Red77
918820.8
518316.5
607740.8
Blue46
521321.2
51629.7
973320.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664502060801001207746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
49Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
77Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#17
40.81.2
29.130.4
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
red by 19.6
5213
#34
21.20.1
11.711.8
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
Second
9188
#29
20.81.2
14.515.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
blue by 0.1
9733
#37
20.90.1
15.515.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End0.4
Third
5183
#21
16.51.2
9.710.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
red by 6.8
5162
#22
9.70.1
11.711.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed