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Red92
439848.7
550121.0
725028.6
Blue42
611222.1
437534.1
771310.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions985401509242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
12Processor points6
16Net points0
28Algae points6
67Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
92Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
41.641.7
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 14.6
4375
#35
34.11.1
26.525.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3
Second
7250
#31
28.60.1
24.524.6
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
red by 6.5
6112
#28
22.11.1
20.519.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End6.9
Third
5501
#27
21.00.1
18.218.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
red by 10.2
7713
#39
10.71.1
6.55.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed