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Red151
439177.8
550121.0
972228.9
Blue103
918820.8
612143.9
973320.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286950100150200151103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+44Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
36Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points69
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
109Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#6
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
151Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.81.4
68.469.7
Auto17.6
Teleop50.0
End10.2
red by 33.8
6121
#18
43.91.0
32.033.0
Auto5.8
Teleop36.0
End2.2
Second
9722
#12
28.91.4
17.819.1
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
red by 8.0
9733
#37
20.91.0
15.616.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End0.4
Third
5501
#27
21.01.4
18.319.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
red by 0.1
9188
#29
20.81.0
15.716.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed