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Red101
771310.7
258644.7
521321.2
Blue116
656929.8
518316.5
776843.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6182050100150101116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#20
54Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
72Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#9
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
101Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#10
44.72.2
35.737.9
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End2.8
red by 1.7
43.02.5
29.732.2
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Second
5213
#34
21.22.2
11.814.0
Auto2.6
Teleop15.0
End3.6
blue by 8.6
6569
#23
29.82.5
24.727.2
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
Third
7713
#39
10.72.2
5.47.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
blue by 5.8
5183
#21
16.52.5
10.913.4
Auto3.3
Teleop11.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed