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Red53
771310.7
918820.8
437723.7
Blue81
725028.6
498821.8
360227.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517702040601001205381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
53Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#36
23.70.6
16.917.5
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 4.9
7250
#31
28.61.2
24.025.2
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Second
9188
#29
20.80.6
16.817.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.4
End1.6
blue by 6.5
3602
#32
27.31.2
24.025.1
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3
Third
7713
#39
10.70.6
7.68.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
blue by 11.1
4988
#26
21.81.2
15.416.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed