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Red104
550121.0
496738.8
612143.9
Blue119
439848.7
1060523.1
85741.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951226080140160180200104119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
72Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
104Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#18
43.90.5
33.033.5
Auto5.8
Teleop36.0
End2.2
blue by 4.8
48.70.5
43.844.3
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Second
4967
#14
38.80.5
32.132.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
blue by 2.7
857
#5
41.50.5
34.234.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Third
5501
#27
21.00.5
19.720.1
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
blue by 2.1
23.10.5
23.223.7
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed