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Red94
159627.2
437723.7
924922.7
Blue59
771310.7
607916.4
498821.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814902040601001201401609459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+41Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
80Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
94Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.4
18.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
red by 5.4
4988
#26
21.80.1
16.516.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Second
4377
#36
23.70.4
17.517.9
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 7.2
6079
#38
16.40.1
15.315.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Third
9249
#15
22.70.4
24.725.2
Auto4.5
Teleop17.0
End1.2
red by 12.0
7713
#39
10.70.1
8.28.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed