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Red110
496738.8
439848.7
607740.8
Blue119
720228.1
972228.9
85741.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277750100150200110119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#17
49Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
77Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#10
4L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
110Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.70.1
44.344.1
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
red by 7.3
857
#5
41.53.0
34.737.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
Second
6077
#17
40.80.1
35.235.1
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End8.3
red by 11.8
9722
#12
28.93.0
19.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
Third
4967
#14
38.80.1
32.632.4
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
red by 10.7
28.13.0
20.423.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned