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Red105
598034.4
977327.0
1060523.1
Blue102
360227.3
656929.8
550121.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9294607080100110120130140105102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
79Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#2
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
105Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#11
34.40.5
28.529.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.1
End7.2
red by 4.6
6569
#23
29.80.3
28.929.2
Auto3.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
Second
9773
#16
27.00.5
24.024.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.9
End2.7
blue by 0.3
3602
#32
27.30.3
25.125.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.5
End1.3
Third
23.10.5
23.724.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.9
End2.0
red by 2.1
5501
#27
21.00.3
20.120.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed