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Red78
439238.4
607916.4
51629.7
Blue55
655813.4
725028.6
437534.1
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65710501001507855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
63Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points2
78Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#13
38.41.4
29.731.1
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
red by 4.3
4375
#35
34.10.8
28.427.6
Auto6.0
Teleop26.8
End1.3
Second
6079
#38
16.41.4
15.416.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 12.2
7250
#31
28.60.8
25.224.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Third
5162
#22
9.71.4
10.712.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 3.7
6558
#30
13.40.8
11.110.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed