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Red108
972228.9
159627.2
496738.8
Blue76
437723.7
548620.8
258644.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210040608012014016010876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+28Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +36
15Coral scored#12
54Coral points42
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
12Processor points0
24Net points12
36Algae points12
90Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
108Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
38.81.3
32.433.7
Auto5.6
Teleop28.7
End4.5
blue by 5.9
2586
#10
44.70.7
39.238.5
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End2.8
Second
9722
#12
28.91.3
22.123.4
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
red by 5.3
4377
#36
23.70.7
17.917.2
Auto3.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
27.21.3
18.920.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
red by 6.4
5486
#33
20.80.7
18.017.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed