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Red93
85741.5
498821.8
973320.9
Blue107
776843.0
922729.8
1050536.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79102406012014016093107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+20
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +12
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
63Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#24
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
93Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#5
41.51.3
37.739.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End6.2
blue by 1.5
43.01.3
34.936.2
Auto9.5
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Second
4988
#26
21.81.3
16.617.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
blue by 14.3
36.11.3
26.327.6
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
Third
9733
#37
20.91.3
18.720.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.4
End0.4
blue by 8.9
9227
#20
29.81.3
26.527.8
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed