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Red126
554737.9
531437.0
159627.2
Blue107
972228.9
498821.8
439848.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011050200300400126107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
25Coral scored#16
89Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
107Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#4
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
126Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.9
30.531.5
Auto4.2
Teleop26.6
End7.1
blue by 10.8
48.70.0
45.345.2
Auto7.4
Teleop38.9
End2.5
Second
37.00.9
34.035.0
Auto5.2
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 8.1
9722
#12
28.90.0
23.423.4
Auto5.8
Teleop21.4
End1.7
Third
27.20.9
20.221.2
Auto4.0
Teleop22.9
End0.4
red by 5.4
4988
#26
21.80.0
17.917.9
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed