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Red62
550121.0
611222.1
548620.8
Blue111
439238.4
771310.7
1050536.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668740608010012014016062111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+53
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +46
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points55
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
12Processor points24
8Net points16
20Algae points40
49Total teleop95
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
62Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6112
#28
22.10.4
18.918.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End6.9
blue by 16.4
4392
#13
38.42.0
31.833.7
Auto5.8
Teleop31.0
End1.6
Second
5501
#27
21.00.4
20.119.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
blue by 15.2
36.12.0
27.629.6
Auto5.6
Teleop30.5
End0.1
Third
5486
#33
20.80.4
17.316.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End1.5
red by 10.1
7713
#39
10.72.0
10.012.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed